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World Cup
Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Aranda
Peru national football team

Paraguay
0 - 0
Peru

FT

Advincula (15'), Araujo (26')
Advincula (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
Last Game: Paraguay 2-0 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Peru

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Peru
Tuesday, June 20 at 10.55am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Paraguay 0-1 Peru

 Paraguay have been feeble in front of goal under Schelotto and are not among one of the fancied nations to qualify, despite CONMEBOL being awarded two additional places for the new-look 48-team finals. Peru are unbeaten in their last 10 encounters against Paraguay - winning nine - and look stronger on paper despite being away from home here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.97%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
ParaguayDrawPeru
47.38% (-0.493 -0.49) 29.32% (0.377 0.38) 23.3% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 38.95% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.48% (-0.98800000000001 -0.99)66.52% (0.98400000000001 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.06% (-0.682 -0.68)84.94% (0.678 0.68)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.736 -0.74)28.49% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-0.934 -0.93)64.26% (0.92999999999999 0.93)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.47% (-0.472 -0.47)45.52% (0.468 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (-0.377 -0.38)81.35% (0.37299999999999 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 47.37%
    Peru 23.29%
    Draw 29.32%
ParaguayDrawPeru
1-0 @ 16.28% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 47.37%
0-0 @ 12.97% (0.47 0.47)
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 10.2% (0.229 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.29%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Peru

Paraguay
38.7%
Draw
17.3%
Peru
44.0%
75
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2022 1am
International Friendly
Peru
1-0
Paraguay
> Preview
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
Group Stage
Peru
2-0
Paraguay
> Preview
Jul 2, 2021 10pm
Quarter-Finals
Peru
3-3
Paraguay
 Peru win 4-3 on penalties
Lapadula (21', 40'), Yotun (80')
Santamaria (15'), Cueva (60'), Carrillo (75')
Carrillo (85')
Gomez (11'), Alonso (54'), Avalos (90')
Gomez (42'), Villasanti (49'), Espinola (87')
Gomez (45+3')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2020 11.30pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
2-2
Peru
Romero (66', 81')
Cubas (35'), Espinola Gimenez (43'), Villasanti (84')
Carrillo (52', 85')
Zambrano (18')
Mar 23, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Peru
1-0
Paraguay
Cueva (4')
Tapia (51'), Advincula (64')
rhs 2.0
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