Friendlies 1
Jun 18, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Paraguay2 - 0Nicaragua
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
We said: Paraguay 3-1 Nicaragua
Paraguay's stock has significantly fallen in recent years, but we expect them to be highly motivated to return to winning ways after losing their last three matches. The visitors are likely to be demotivated after already losing two friendlies within the past week, especially having been removed from the Gold Cup, which these friendlies were arranged in preparation for. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Nicaragua |
51.67% ( 1.55) | 25.71% ( -0.72) | 22.61% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 47.23% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
