MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:25:10| >> :60:5:5:
Colombia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 1.20am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Paraguay national football team

Colombia
2 - 0
Paraguay

Sanchez (14'), Falcao (76')
Sanchez (61'), Fabra (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valdez (50'), Gamarra (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Colombia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

Paraguay

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Paraguay
Thursday, November 17 at 1am in International Friendlies

We said: Colombia 2-0 Paraguay

 Colombia have made a bright start under the tutelage of Lorenzo and they will fancy their chances of success against a goal-shy Paraguay outfit. Even though Los Cafeteros are missing a couple of star names due to injury, they should have enough quality in their side to claim a routine win in Florida. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 75.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.56%) and 3-0 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Colombia in this match.

Result
ColombiaDrawParaguay
75.12% (26.445 26.45) 17.1% (-9.451 -9.45) 7.79% (-16.996 -17)
Both teams to score 36.67% (-10.456 -10.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (7.348 7.35)49.41% (-7.35 -7.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (6.248 6.25)71.45% (-6.252 -6.25)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5% (11.877 11.88)11.5% (-11.88 -11.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.63% (20.984 20.98)36.37% (-20.987 -20.99)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.44% (-20.069 -20.07)58.56% (20.067 20.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.1% (-14.66 -14.66)89.89% (14.655 14.66)
Score Analysis
    Colombia 75.11%
    Paraguay 7.79%
    Draw 17.1%
ColombiaDrawParaguay
2-0 @ 15.75% (6.247 6.25)
1-0 @ 14.56% (1.49 1.49)
3-0 @ 11.35% (6.746 6.75)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.645 -0.65)
4-0 @ 6.14% (4.468 4.47)
3-1 @ 6.08% (1.681 1.68)
4-1 @ 3.29% (1.689 1.69)
5-0 @ 2.66% (2.17 2.17)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.472 -0.47)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.958 0.96)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.84 0.84)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 75.11%
1-1 @ 7.79% (-4.686 -4.69)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-2.266 -2.27)
2-2 @ 2.26% (-2.076 -2.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.1%
0-1 @ 3.6% (-4.988 -4.99)
1-2 @ 2.09% (-3.875 -3.88)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-3.137 -3.14)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 7.79%

How you voted: Colombia vs Paraguay

Colombia
84.8%
Draw
12.1%
Paraguay
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 11pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Colombia
0-0
Paraguay

Cuellar (22'), Lerma (40'), Valoyes (50')

Cubas (5'), Balbuena (7')
Cubas (85')
Sep 5, 2021 11pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Paraguay
1-1
Colombia
Sanabria (40')
Gimenez (31'), Romero (45+5'), Gomez (46'), Morel (89')
Cuadrado (53' pen.)
Barrios (45+5'), Martinez (77'), Sanchez (90+4'), Mejia (90+5')
Jun 23, 2019 8pm
Group B
Colombia
1-0
Paraguay
Cuellar (31')
Borja (29'), Lucumi (42')

Arzamendia (49')
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
Colombia
1-2
Paraguay
Falcao (79')
Fabra (12'), Zapata (27'), Falcao (86')
Cardozo (89'), Sanabria (92')
Ortiz (10'), Gonzalez (39'), Valdez (57'), Piris (87')
rhs 2.0
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