MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:20:08| >> :60:146:146:
Peru national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Bolivia national football team

Peru
1 - 0
Bolivia

Iberico (55')
Liza (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jusino (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Peru and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bolivia 0-2 Senegal
Saturday, September 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Paraguay
Thursday, November 17 at 1am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Peru 2-1 Bolivia

 Peru will be regarded as favourites following their victory over Paraguay last time out and considering Bolivia's poor run of form. Both sides possess quality to cause problems in the final third, but we can see La Blanquirroja edging past La Verde on home soil to end the year on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 83.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (12.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result
PeruDrawBolivia
83.76% (19.857 19.86) 12% (-11.357 -11.36) 4.24% (-8.503 -8.5)
Both teams to score 32.4% (-4.184 -4.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (18.343 18.34)41.75% (-18.343 -18.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85% (16.157 16.16)64.15% (-16.159 -16.16)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.53% (11.066 11.07)7.47% (-11.068 -11.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.15% (22.931 22.93)26.84% (-22.934 -22.93)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.02% (-9.893 -9.89)64.98% (9.891 9.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.01% (-5.058 -5.06)92.99% (5.057 5.06)
Score Analysis
    Peru 83.75%
    Bolivia 4.24%
    Draw 12%
PeruDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 16.33% (1.83 1.83)
3-0 @ 14.12% (5.971 5.97)
1-0 @ 12.59% (-4.62 -4.62)
4-0 @ 9.16% (5.729 5.73)
2-1 @ 7.04% (-1.607 -1.61)
3-1 @ 6.09% (1.231 1.23)
5-0 @ 4.76% (3.598 3.6)
4-1 @ 3.95% (1.903 1.9)
6-0 @ 2.06% (1.731 1.73)
5-1 @ 2.05% (1.36 1.36)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 83.75%
1-1 @ 5.43% (-4.833 -4.83)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-5.358 -5.36)
2-2 @ 1.52% (-1.06 -1.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 12%
0-1 @ 2.09% (-3.996 -4)
1-2 @ 1.17% (-1.889 -1.89)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 4.24%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Peru

Bolivia
35.6%
Draw
6.7%
Peru
57.8%
45
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2021 2am
CONMEBOL Standings
Peru
3-0
Bolivia
Lapadula (9'), Cueva (31'), Pena (39')
Cueva (32'), Trauco (50')

Gonzales (40')
Oct 10, 2021 9pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Bolivia
1-0
Peru
Vaca (83')
Villarroel (2'), Jusino (24'), Justiniano (74')
Vaca (76')

Gonzales (42'), Cartagena (76')
Jun 18, 2019 10.30pm
Group A
Bolivia
1-3
Peru
Martins (28' pen.)
Chumacero (30'), Fernandez (72'), Haquin (82')
Guerrero (45'), Farfan (55'), Flores (95')
Zambrano (27'), Guerrero (42')
Sep 1, 2017 3.15am
Peru
2-1
Bolivia
Flores (55'), Cueva (59')
Advincula (50'), Aquino (64'), Farfan (91')
Alvarez (72')
Raldes (34'), Campos (42')
Jun 26, 2015 12.30am
Bolivia
1-3
Peru
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