MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 06:50:43| >> :600:8302646:8302646:
Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Yamoussoukro
Senegal national football team

Guinea
0 - 2
Senegal


Conte (22'), Conte (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Seck (61'), Ndiaye (90')
Jakobs (45+3'), Diatta (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Gambia
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Senegal 3-1 Cameroon
Friday, January 19 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Guinea 1-1 Senegal

Expect a cagey affair, with both teams hesitant to take undue risks. While Senegal's superior attacking weapons and experience, even with a potential change in their forward line, should give them the advantage, Guinea's resolute determination to secure qualification could make this a tighter encounter than many predict. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 38.8%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Senegal had a probability of 30.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.8%), while for a Senegal win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
GuineaDrawSenegal
38.8% (-0.465 -0.46) 30.89% (0.349 0.35) 30.31% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 39.26% (-0.783 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.81% (-0.949 -0.95)68.2% (0.956 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.94% (-0.631 -0.63)86.06% (0.63799999999999 0.64)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (-0.804 -0.8)34.26% (0.809 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (-0.871 -0.87)70.96% (0.87899999999999 0.88)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.73% (-0.452 -0.45)40.28% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.1% (-0.411 -0.41)76.91% (0.41900000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 38.8%
    Senegal 30.3%
    Draw 30.89%
GuineaDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 14.78% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.8%
0-0 @ 13.8% (0.48 0.48)
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.89%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 30.3%

How you voted: Guinea vs Senegal

Guinea
9.1%
Draw
31.8%
Senegal
59.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Senegal
0-0
Guinea
Kouyate (75')
Diawara (49'), Keita (64'), Sylla (80'), Keita (83')
Oct 20, 2019
5pm
rhs 2.0
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