We said: Morocco 3-1 Congo DR
While Congo DR have fared well against Morocco in the past, the Atlas Lions currently have arguably the best squad in the competition on paper, and they are quickly becoming one of the most formidable teams on the continent. This should be a good watch, but we can only see it ending in victory for the tournament favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.44%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.