We said: Senegal 2-1 Gabon
Cisse's team have more unsurprising outcomes, with their consistency not dropping in competitive or non-competitive fixtures. The same cannot be said for Gabon, whose mixed results reveal a team with oscillating performances and results when the stakes are not as high — and maybe even when they are too.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.3%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.