Friendlies 1

Mar 22, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
3 - 0
Gabon

Appindangoye (12' og.), Faye (44'), Mane (90+2')
Dieng (34'), Seck (36'), Ciss (45+4'), Sano (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Loufilou (43')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Senegal and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Ivory Coast (4-5 pen.)
Monday, January 29 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Gabon

All competitions

Last Game: Burundi 1-2 Gabon
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Cisse's team have more unsurprising outcomes, with their consistency not dropping in competitive or non-competitive fixtures. The same cannot be said for Gabon, whose mixed results reveal a team with oscillating performances and results when the stakes are not as high — and maybe even when they are too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.3%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Gabon
64.53% ( 0.01)	22.72% ( -0.01)	12.75%

Both teams to score 38.08% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.98% (

0.03)

58.02% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29% (

0.02)

78.71% (

-0.02)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

0.01)

17.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92% (

0.02)

48.08% (

-0.02)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.18% (

0.02)

53.82% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.84% (

0.01)

87.16% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Senegal 64.52%

Gabon 12.75%

Draw 22.72%

Senegal	Draw	Gabon
1-0 @ 16.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 14.3% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 64.52%	1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 1.93% Total : 12.75%