Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for TPS had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest TPS win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.