Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Jan 20, 2025 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Macarthur1 - 2Wellington
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur
Sunday, January 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, January 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Sydney FC
Wednesday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Wednesday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
47.8% ( 0.69) | 23% ( 0.06) | 29.2% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 62.14% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.74) | 38.73% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.79) | 61.03% ( 0.79) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.03) | 16.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.73% ( -0.05) | 46.26% ( 0.05) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( -0.85) | 25.56% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.57% ( -1.17) | 60.42% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Macarthur 47.8%
Wellington Phoenix 29.2%
Draw 22.99%
| Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.2% |
How you voted: Macarthur vs Wellington
Macarthur
66.7%Draw
16.7%Wellington Phoenix
16.7%6
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 4am
Apr 27, 2024 8.15am
Feb 18, 2024 7.01am
Gameweek 17
Macarthur
1-2
Wellington
Barbarouses (31' pen., 73')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Dec 18, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Form Guide
