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Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 4, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers

Victory
2 - 2
Western Sydney

Miranda (29'), Teague (87' pen.)
Valadon (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hammond (45'), Milanovic (76')
Clisby (33'), Priestman (41'), Badolato (76'), Cameron (90+2'), Milanovic (90')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auckland FC 0-0 Victory
Wednesday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Macarthur
Wednesday, January 1 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
55.28% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 21.19% (0.004999999999999 0) 23.53% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 63.13% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97% (-0.104 -0.1)35.03% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97% (-0.115 -0.12)57.02% (0.114 0.11)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)12.74% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)38.99% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)27.65% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.145 -0.15)63.19% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 55.28%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 23.53%
    Draw 21.19%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.4%
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.28%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.19%
1-2 @ 6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 23.53%

Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-4
Western Sydney
Machach (4'), Arzani (15', 55')
Ikonomidis (7'), Chapman (17')
Brook (20'), Milanovic (35'), Hammond (73'), Priestman (87')
Priestman (19'), Clisby (45+3')
Dec 10, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Western Sydney
3-4
Victory
Antonsson (57' pen., 88'), Yuel (90+1')
Milanovic (71')
Fornaroli (8', 45+1', 51', 74')
Machach (32')
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
Oct 15, 2022 9.45am
Mar 27, 2022 9.05am
Gameweek 20
Victory
1-1
Western Sydney
Davidson (90+1')
Hamill (68')
Miranda (88')
Ugarkovic (90+6' pen.)
Ugarkovic (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC25158247232453
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City25136636241245
3Western UnitedWestern Utd25135751351644
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney25127655391643
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2512674335842
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC25107852411137
8Macarthur2596104942733
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2585124243-129
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2551192849-2126
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2566132741-1424
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2546153050-2018
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2535172056-3614


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