Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 12, 2025 at 6am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets1 - 3Macarthur
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Tuesday, January 7 at 9am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, January 7 at 9am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Adelaide United
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Monday, January 6 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
30.75% ( -0.03) | 22.51% ( 0.07) | 46.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 64.96% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.35) | 35.45% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.51% ( -0.39) | 57.49% ( 0.39) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.19) | 22.97% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.24% ( -0.28) | 56.76% ( 0.27) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( -0.15) | 15.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.28) | 44.7% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets 30.75%
Macarthur 46.74%
Draw 22.51%
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.75% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.74% |
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 6am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
2-2
Macarthur
Apr 14, 2023 10.45am
Feb 18, 2023 7am
Form Guide
