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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
0 - 0
Instituto


Veron (84')
FT

Cuello (15'), Alarcon (75'), Corda (80'), Martinez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Instituto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, July 2 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Instituto

All competitions
Last Game: Instituto 1-0 Belgrano
Sunday, July 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Instituto

 While the visitors prevailed last time out and their hosts suffered a setback in their improvement, Argentinos Juniors have enjoyed the far stronger season for a reason and should have enough quality to see off Instituto with home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 8.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.63%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawInstituto
74.13% (-1.025 -1.03) 17.28% (0.674 0.67) 8.59% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 39.55% (-0.589 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-1.742 -1.74)47.57% (1.743 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-1.633 -1.63)69.77% (1.635 1.64)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)11.26% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15% (-1.642 -1.64)35.85% (1.645 1.65)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.56% (-0.289 -0.29)55.44% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.86% (-0.17 -0.17)88.14% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 74.12%
    Instituto 8.59%
    Draw 17.28%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawInstituto
2-0 @ 14.88% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.57 0.57)
3-0 @ 10.83% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.3 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.21 -0.21)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.071 -0.07)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 74.12%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.267 0.27)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.442 0.44)
2-2 @ 2.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 2.37% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.09% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 8.59%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Instituto

Argentinos Juniors
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Instituto
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
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