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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Lecce logo

Parma
1 - 3
Lecce

Valeri (34' pen.)
Camara (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krstovic (36'), Pierotti (63', 90+3')
Ramadani (20'), Karlsson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Parma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-2 Parma
Sunday, January 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, January 26 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 2-1 Lecce

Only one team has a worse away record than Lecce, and they are still struggling to score goals, so even a brittle Parma side should secure three points on Friday evening. Without doubt, the Gialloblu have a greater cutting edge than their visitors, and they can use it to inch further away from danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawLecce
49.39% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (0.076000000000001 0.08)51.11% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (0.065000000000001 0.07)72.96% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)53.31% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.101 0.1)34.83% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.106 0.11)71.56% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Parma 49.39%
    Lecce 25.42%
    Draw 25.18%
ParmaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.42%

How you voted: Parma vs Lecce

Parma
76.2%
Draw
19.8%
Lecce
4.0%
101
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lecce
2-2
Parma
Dorgu (32'), Krstovic (59')
Ramadani (31'), Dorgu (51'), Gaspar (54'), Rafia (84')
Guilbert (47')
Almqvist (90+3'), Hainaut (90+5')
Cancellieri (58')
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Lecce
2-4
Parma
Piccoli (54'), Espeto (76')
Espeto (72'), Berisha (87')
Sohm (9'), Bonny (28'), Pongracic (90+4' og.), Man (90+7' pen.)
Mihaila (33'), Coulibaly (74'), Zagaritis (85')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 31
Parma
0-0
Lecce
Tutino (27'), Larangeira (43'), Cobbaut (61'), Vazquez (84')
Hjulmand (27'), Coda (36')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
4-0
Parma
Coda (16', 31' pen., 44'), Espeto (37')
Lucioni (33'), Espeto (54')

Busi (68')
Aug 15, 2021 5pm
First Round
Parma
1-3
Lecce
Brunetta (7')
Sohm (58')
Coda (9', 76'), Tuia (40')
Gendrey (27'), Olivieri (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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