Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 16, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's OB0 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Newell's OB
Wednesday, April 12 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, April 12 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Gimnasia
Thursday, April 13 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, April 13 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | River Plate |
21.7% ( -0.58) | 27.07% ( 0.06) | 51.23% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 42.65% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
