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Real Sociedad logo
La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 21, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Barcelona logo

Real Sociedad
0 - 1
Barcelona


Le Normand (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aubameyang (11')
Araujo (33'), Gavi (85')

Preview: Real Sociedad vs. Barcelona - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barcelona will be bidding to return to winning ways in La Liga when they make the trip to top-four rivals Real Sociedad on Thursday night.

The Catalan outfit are currently second in the table, 15 points behind leaders Real Madrid, while Real Sociedad are fifth, five points behind fourth-placed Atletico Madrid in the race for the Champions League spots.


Match preview

Real Sociedad coach Imanol Alguacil before the match on January 19, 2022© Reuters

Real Sociedad have not finished higher than fifth in La Liga since claiming fourth in 2013, but they are in the mix for a top-four spot this term, currently sitting sixth, five points behind fourth-placed Atletico.

The Basque outfit have been in strong form since losing 4-1 at Real Madrid towards the start of March, picking up 11 points from their last five matches, including a 0-0 draw with fifth-placed Real Betis on Friday night.

Real Sociedad will need to win the majority of their final six league matches to stand a chance of finishing in the top four, and they have three relatively kind fixtures after this one, facing Rayo Vallecano, Levante and Cadiz, before tackling Villarreal and Atletico in their last two league games of the campaign.

The White and Blues have been strong in front of their own supporters this season, picking up 32 points from 16 matches, recording nine wins in the process, but they will be hosting a Barcelona side with the second-best away record in Spain's top flight, with the Catalan outfit collecting 28 points from 16 matches.

Real Sociedad have also lost nine of their last 10 league games against Barcelona and have not overcome them in Spain's top flight since April 2016, which is the indication of the size of their task in this match.

Barcelona's Pedri celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 3, 2022© Reuters

Barcelona won seven straight league matches between February 20 and April 10, which left them in charge of second spot in the table, but they suffered a shock 1-0 home loss to Cadiz on Monday night.

Lucas Perez netted the only goal of the contest early in the second period, and Xavi's side could not respond, despite the likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Adama Traore and Luuk de Jong all being introduced in the second half of the league contest.

Barcelona are still second in the table, now 15 points behind leaders Real Madrid with a match spare, but they are level on points with third-placed Sevilla and fourth-placed Atletico, while Real Betis in fifth position are just three points behind, so the Catalan outfit are in a top-four battle.

Xavi's side were shocked at home by Eintracht Frankfurt in the quarter-finals of the Europa League last week, meanwhile, so it has not been a positive few days for the team, who will seemingly end the season without a trophy unless there is a dramatic collapse from Real Madrid.

Barcelona, who are expected to be active in the summer transfer window despite their ongoing financial issues, will face Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca in back-to-back home league fixtures after this one, before taking on Real Betis, Celta Vigo, Getafe and Villarreal in their final four games of the campaign.

Real Sociedad La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Barcelona La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Barcelona form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Barcelona's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang celebrates scoring their first goal on February 27, 2022© Reuters

Real Sociedad will again be missing Mikel Oyarzabal, Nacho Monreal, Carlos Fernandez and Ander Barrenetxea through injury, while David Silva is out of the contest through suspension.

Silva's absence, courtesy of his red card against Real Betis on Friday, could mean a change of formation for the home side, with Portu potentially coming into a front three, while Joseba Zaldua should return at right-back, having been suspended last time out.

Head coach Alguacil is likely to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack from the goalless draw, though, so the majority of the players should keep their spots, with Alexander Isak and Alexander Sorloth both set to feature in the final third of the field.

As for Barcelona, Ronald Araujo will be available again following a suspension, while Gerard Pique could recover from a groin problem to feature in the middle of the defence.

Pedri is set to miss the remainder of the season with a hamstring problem, while Samuel Umtiti and Sergi Roberto are unlikely to be involved despite recently returning to training.

Ansu Fati is getting closer to a first-team return, and Xavi could yet to decide to name the Spain international on the bench for the clash with Real Sociedad.

There is also expected to be a change in the final third of the field following the defeat to Cadiz, with Aubameyang set to replace Memphis Depay, while Sergino Dest and Clement Lenglet could drop out of the defence to allow Pique and Araujo to return.

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Remiro; Zaldua, Zubeldia, Le Normand, Rico; Merino, Zubimendi, Rafinha; Isak, Sorloth, Portu

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Araujo, Pique, E Garcia, Alba; F de Jong, Busquets, Gavi; Dembele, Aubameyang, Torres


SM words green background

We say: Real Sociedad 1-1 Barcelona

Barcelona will be desperate to return to winning ways on Thursday evening, but Real Sociedad are a team to be taken extremely seriously, especially on home soil. The Basque outfit will also be the fresher of the two sides, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which would further open up the top-four race.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:483709:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11752:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Barcelona

Real Sociedad
18.5%
Draw
18.9%
Barcelona
62.6%
270
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Barcelona's Pedri pictured on September 14, 2021
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
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20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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