MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:26:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Avai
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio da Ressacada
Flamengo

Avai
1 - 2
Flamengo

Chaves (48')
Silva (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (55', 84')
Bruno (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Avai and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Avai
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Avai 0-2 Flamengo

Avai face the stern test of taking on a rampant Flamengo side who are currently in red-hot form. The Rubro-Negro have won seven of their last eight games in all competitions and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Avai had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
AvaiDrawFlamengo
27.07% (-0.296 -0.3) 25.67% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 47.27% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (0.114 0.11)51.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (0.099999999999998 0.1)73.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (-0.173 -0.17)33.89% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (-0.188 -0.19)70.57% (0.191 0.19)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.215 0.22)21.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (0.325 0.33)55.24% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Avai 27.07%
    Flamengo 47.27%
    Draw 25.66%
AvaiDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.27%

How you voted: Avai vs Flamengo

Avai
13.0%
Draw
26.1%
Flamengo
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2019 11pm
Flamengo
6-1
Avai
De Arrascaeta (11'), Diego (37'), Barbosa (39'), Lincoln (57'), Reinier (84', 89')
Lourenco (22')
Lourenco (74')
Sep 7, 2019 9pm
Avai
0-3
Flamengo

Paulo (49')
Ferrareis (91')
Barbosa (11'), Mari (32'), Reinier (53')
Mari (61'), Barbosa (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
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10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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