Corinthians

2 - 1

Cruzeiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.