Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
