Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Oct 14, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
Fortaleza1 - 0Gremio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Gremio |
| 40.4% | 28% | 31.6% |
| Both teams to score 47.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
