Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Goias had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.