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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
49.04% ( -0.56) | 24.51% ( 0.32) | 26.46% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.48% ( -1.16) | 47.52% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.27% ( -1.08) | 69.73% ( 1.09) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( -0.68) | 19.43% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( -1.13) | 51.26% ( 1.13) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.94% ( -0.41) | 32.07% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.47% ( -0.47) | 68.54% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.03% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 33 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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