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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Koln logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
FC Koln


Siebatcheu (90+2')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln

In addition to suffering two straight losses, FC Koln have failed to score in four of their previous five outings, putting Union Berlin in pole position to claim all three points on Saturday. Given that last weekend's defeat was Union's first since November, the Irons Ones should return to winning ways on home soil, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
54.47% (-1.386 -1.39) 23.64% (0.205 0.21) 21.89% (1.178 1.18)
Both teams to score 52.47% (1.01 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.51300000000001 0.51)48.1% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.471 0.47)70.26% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)17.55% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.554 -0.55)48.08% (0.55 0.55)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (1.461 1.46)36.36% (-1.464 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (1.45 1.45)73.14% (-1.452 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 54.47%
    FC Koln 21.89%
    Draw 23.63%
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.66% (-0.41 -0.41)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.6% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.89%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin
87.7%
Draw
5.5%
FC Koln
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 1, 2022 7.30pm
Union Berlin
1-0
FC Koln
Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
FC Koln
Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')
Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')
Nov 22, 2020 5pm
FC Koln
1-2
Union Berlin
Skhiri (36')
Duda (31')
Awoniyi (27'), Kruse (72')
Ingvartsen (35'), Giesselmann (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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