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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
58.06% ( 0.59) | 21.42% ( -0.24) | 20.51% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.96% ( 0.61) | 40.03% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.6% ( 0.62) | 62.39% ( -0.63) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( 0.38) | 13.55% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% ( 0.76) | 40.63% ( -0.76) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( 0) | 33.11% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.28% ( 0) | 69.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.39% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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