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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Hofler (63'), Gunter (74'), Grifo (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fuhrich (30')
Karazor (40'), Zagadou (59'), Ito (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 0-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, February 7 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Stuttgart

 Although Freiburg are yet to find their top form since returning to action after the World Cup, it is surely only a matter of time until Streich's side put together the sort of winning run we have seen so often from them in recent times. Stuttgart, on the other hand, appear to be in a significant spot of bother having only won three league games so far this season. They are likely to fall to a third successive defeat on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
58.06% (0.59399999999999 0.59) 21.42% (-0.237 -0.24) 20.51% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 57.82% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.605 0.61)40.03% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.622 0.62)62.39% (-0.627 -0.63)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.378 0.38)13.55% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (0.756 0.76)40.63% (-0.762 -0.76)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.004999999999999 0)69.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 58.06%
    Stuttgart 20.51%
    Draw 21.42%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 20.51%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
85.7%
Draw
5.4%
Stuttgart
8.9%
56
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Demirovic (14'), Woo-yeong (37')
Keitel (66'), Schmid (74')
Wamangituka (7')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Freiburg
Kalajdzic (15')
Stenzel (44'), Klimowicz (55')

Grifo (44')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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