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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Werder Bremen logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Sesko (61')
Henrichs (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seiwald (35' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 RB Leipzig
Friday, May 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Werder Bremen

Leipzig have conceded one goal in their last six Bundesliga games at Red Bull Arena, scored by Dortmund's Jadon Sancho at the backend of April, a game the Red Bulls won 4-1. Despite securing Champions League football, Rose should expect his in-form side to claim maximum points to continue their unbeaten results since losing to Bayern in February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 79.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
79.36% (-0.14 -0.14) 12.79% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 7.86% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.96% (-0.161 -0.16)28.05% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.2% (-0.2 -0.2)48.8% (0.197 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)5.52% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.48% (-0.161 -0.16)21.52% (0.157 0.16)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.56% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 79.36%
    Werder Bremen 7.86%
    Draw 12.79%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 79.36%
1-1 @ 5.79% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 12.79%
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig
81.7%
Draw
13.3%
Werder Bremen
5.0%
60
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Njinmah (75')
Gross (59'), Bittencourt (66'), Njinmah (84'), Ducksch (90+1')
Openda (47')
Kampl (68'), Haidara (90+1')
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Gross (57')
Silva (13'), Schlager (71')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Bittencourt (105+1')
Hee-chan (93'), Forsberg (120+1')
Haidara (35'), Kampl (99'), Gulacsi (101')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-4
RB Leipzig
Rashica (61' pen.)
Olmo (23'), Sorloth (32', 41'), Sabitzer (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt17103440241633
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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