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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Koln logo

Bayern
1 - 1
FC Koln

Kimmich (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Skhiri (4')
Huseinbasic (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 FC Koln

Facing a steadfast Bayern backline is a different kettle of fish to tackling an out-of-sorts Werder Bremen side for Koln, who will nevertheless feel confident of breaching the Bavarians' depleted defence after their magnificent exploits in front of goal at the weekend. However, Skhiri's ankle injury is not what the doctor ordered for Baumgart's side, who continue to struggle for resilience at the back and should be brought crashing back down to earth by the goal-happy champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 8.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.42%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
79.1% (-0.776 -0.78) 12.55% (0.524 0.52) 8.35% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.48% (-1.373 -1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.37% (-1.971 -1.97)24.63% (1.972 1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.57% (-2.639 -2.64)44.43% (2.638 2.64)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.1% (-0.495 -0.5)4.89% (0.494 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.35% (-1.518 -1.52)19.65% (1.518 1.52)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (-1.125 -1.13)39.56% (1.126 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (-1.059 -1.06)76.24% (1.059 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 79.1%
    FC Koln 8.35%
    Draw 12.55%
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
3-0 @ 8.86% (0.273 0.27)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.563 0.56)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.285 0.28)
4-0 @ 6.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.2% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 5.84% (0.56 0.56)
5-0 @ 4.04% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-1 @ 3.74% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-2 @ 2.88% (-0.193 -0.19)
6-0 @ 2.03% (-0.153 -0.15)
6-1 @ 1.88% (-0.206 -0.21)
5-2 @ 1.74% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 6.2%
Total : 79.1%
1-1 @ 5.42% (0.367 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.94% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 12.55%
1-2 @ 2.51% (0.097 0.1)
0-1 @ 1.79% (0.178 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 8.35%

How you voted: Bayern vs FC Koln

Bayern Munich
88.2%
Draw
8.8%
FC Koln
2.9%
102
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-4
Bayern

Kilian (9')
Lewandowski (9', 62', 74'), Tolisso (25')
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
Bayern
3-2
FC Koln
Lewandowski (50'), Gnabry (59', 71')
Sule (76')
Modeste (60'), Uth (62')
Ljubicic (20')
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
5-1
FC Koln
Maxim Choupo-Moting (18'), Lewandowski (33', 65'), Gnabry (82', 86')
Alaba (22'), Sane (45+1')
Skhiri (49')
Czichos (45')
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
1-2
Bayern
Drexler (82')
Wolf (89')
Muller (13' pen.), Gnabry (45+1')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (10'), Pavard (23')
Feb 16, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
1-4
Bayern
Uth (70')
Bornauw (78')
Lewandowski (3'), Coman (5'), Gnabry (12', 66')
Boateng (28'), Alcantara (49'), Pavard (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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