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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Union Berlin logo

Hertha Berlin
0 - 2
Union Berlin


Boateng (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doekhi (44'), Seguin (67')
Khedira (49'), Seguin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-3 Union Berlin

Hertha's relative solidity under Schwarz prior to the World Cup appears to have gone out of the window since returning to action last weekend, with disappointing defeats to VfL Bochum and Wolfsburg seeing them drop into the automatic relegation places . As such, we are struggling to see beyond a fifth consecutive victory for Union in the Berlin derby, with Fischer's side looking well set to challenge for a Champions League qualification position once again this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
30.2% (0.073 0.07) 25.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 44.16% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.69% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-0.173 -0.17)50.09% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-0.154 -0.15)72.06% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.61% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.84% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.133 -0.13)22.62% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.198 -0.2)56.24% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 30.2%
    Union Berlin 44.16%
    Draw 25.63%
Hertha BerlinDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.16%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin

Hertha Berlin
10.4%
Draw
3.9%
Union Berlin
85.7%
77
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
3-1
Hertha Berlin
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (50'), Knoche (54')
Knoche (35'), Leweling (90+3')
Lukebakio (85')
Uremovic (52'), Sunjic (77'), Lukebakio (87')
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Union Berlin
Baumgartl (49' og.)
Lotka (13'), Jovetic (20'), Kempf (61'), Tousart (65')
Haraguchi (31'), Promel (53'), Becker (74'), Michel (85')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Union Berlin
Khedira (54' og.), Serdar (90+5')
Serdar (15')
Voglsammer (11'), Stark (50' og.), Knoche (55')
Oztunali (43')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 4, 2021 5pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Andrich (10')
Ryerson (17'), Promel (28')
Lukebakio (35' pen.)
Guendouzi (28'), Tousart (45'), Torunarigha (53'), Ascacibar (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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