Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 6pm UK
Luminus Arena
Genk2 - 2Servette
Tresor Ndayishimiye (28' pen.), Arokodare (51')
Vrancken (6'), Tresor Ndayishimiye (69'), Paintsil (103')
Vrancken (6'), Tresor Ndayishimiye (69'), Paintsil (103')
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Servette win 4-1 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RWDM 0-4 Genk
Saturday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Servette 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
We say: Genk 2-1 Servette
While Servette did put on an excellent showing on their home patch last week, they will likely find it much more difficult on the road this time around. Genk have a very good home record over the last year, and we expect them to get through to the next round, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Servette had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%).
Result | ||
Genk | Draw | Servette |
49.13% ( 0.02) | 22.76% ( -0) | 28.11% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.68% ( 0.02) | 38.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.4% ( 0.02) | 60.6% ( -0.02) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.11% ( 0.01) | 15.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.89% ( 0.02) | 45.11% ( -0.02) |
Servette Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% | 26.07% |