Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de Geneve
Servette1 - 1Genk
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grasshopper 1-3 Servette
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Genk 2-0 Burnley
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Servette 1-2 Genk
While Servette have adapted to life under new management quite seamlessly, they have yet to tackle opponents as well-drilled as a Genk side which came within minutes of being crowned Belgian champions just last month. The visitors also held their own against Sporting and Burnley this summer, so should be capable of taking a slim lead with them into next week's second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Genk |
44.33% ( -0) | 23.31% ( 0) | 32.36% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
