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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
West Brom logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
West Brom

Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Livermore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of a really tight game. While we would not be surprised if Blues earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring draw, the Baggies may just do enough to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.95%27.47%46.58%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74%59.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33%79.67%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42%75.57%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69%60.31%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 25.95%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.58%
    Draw 27.47%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.95%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.53%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-3 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
21.3%
Draw
29.8%
West Bromwich Albion
48.9%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
West Brom
3-2
Birmingham
Gayle (47'), Rodriguez (65' pen.), Livermore (74')
Dawson (30'), Brunt (98')
Gardner (7'), Jutkiewicz (59')
Dean (24'), Pedersen (46'), Gardner (68'), Gardner (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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