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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 21, 2022 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
2 - 0
Cardiff

Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City

We anticipate a tense affair at Ashton Gate on Sunday, with limited chances as both sides aim to avoid a derby-day defeat. Bristol City will have more confidence after breaking their winless run last time out, but they face a tough test against a Cardiff side who have enjoyed a positive start, and we anticipate a share of the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
41.8% (2.197 2.2) 26.75% (0.323 0.32) 31.45% (-2.519 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-1.755 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-1.908 -1.91)54.14% (1.91 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-1.62 -1.62)75.56% (1.622 1.62)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (0.294 0.29)25.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (0.40000000000001 0.4)60.44% (-0.399 -0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-2.637 -2.64)31.8% (2.639 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-3.133 -3.13)68.24% (3.135 3.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.8%
    Cardiff City 31.45%
    Draw 26.75%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.89 0.89)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.665 0.67)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.328 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.589 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.467 -0.47)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.402 -0.4)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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