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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Reading logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Reading

Conway (45+2')
Taylor-Clarke (23'), Mehmeti (65'), James (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joao (72')
Holmes (4'), Yiadom (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Reading

Both teams required the international break to reset ahead of the run-in, and it remains to be seen who that suited the most. With home advantage in their favour, we have to back Bristol City, albeit in a close match and where they may only prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawReading
53.82% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 25.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.13% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.27% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)54.48% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.065999999999999 0.07)75.84% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.072000000000003 0.07)20.23% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (0.11199999999999 0.11)52.55% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.74% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 53.81%
    Reading 21.13%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Reading

Bristol City
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Reading
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-1
Reading
Semenyo (44'), Morrison (47' og.)
Kalas (32'), Dasilva (67'), Martin (82'), Williams (90+6')
Swift (74' pen.)
Holmes (22')
Aug 17, 2021 8pm
Reading
2-3
Bristol City
Azeez (19'), Moore (81')
Weimann (5', 52'), Martin (14')
James (90+2')
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-2
Reading

Hunt (20'), Lansbury (67'), Moore (76'), Bakinson (90+3')
Joao (42'), Morrison (45')
Richards (37'), Ejaria (69'), Olise (75')
Nov 28, 2020 12.30pm
Reading
3-1
Bristol City
Ejaria (54'), Meite (76'), Joao (90+2')
Wells (73')
Moore (65'), Martin (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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