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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City

Luton
1 - 0
Bristol City

Morris (4')
Morris (34'), Berry (62'), Bell (78'), Adebayo (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vyner (51'), Pring (64'), Sykes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Bristol City

Expectation is building at Luton, something which could either boost or destabilise their promotion bid. On this occasion, we feel that it will be the former as we expect the Hatters to put on a professional display, motivated to improve in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
49.95% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.95% (0.103 0.1) 24.1% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (-0.409 -0.41)55.11% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (-0.339 -0.34)76.36% (0.342 0.34)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.199 -0.2)22.11% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (-0.301 -0.3)55.47% (0.303 0.3)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.261 -0.26)38.2% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.25 -0.25)74.96% (0.25200000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.94%
    Bristol City 24.1%
    Draw 25.95%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.45% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
64.5%
Draw
17.7%
Bristol City
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-0
Luton
Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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