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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Kaba (52'), Philogene-Bidace (70')
Allsop (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Bristol City

Despite a defeat last time out against Norwich, Cardiff are looking significantly improved under Lamouchi and will view this Severnside derby as a good opportunity to further distance themselves from the bottom three. Bristol endured arguably the hardest workout in English football against Manchester City on Tuesday night, and going toe-to-toe with Pep Guardiola's side should set them up well for a return to Championship action this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.28% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.016000000000005 0.02)37.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.98%
    Bristol City 26.73%
    Draw 27.28%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 26.73%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
32.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bristol City
52.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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