Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City
Cardiff may have lost back-to-back league games on the road, but crucially, they will have home advantage in their favour for Saturday's derby clash, and after winning their last two home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch all three points against Bristol City, especially as they have won three of their last four head-to-head meetings.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.89% . A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.35%) . The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood .
Result Cardiff City Draw Bristol City 39.89% ( -0.01) 27.47% ( -0) 32.64% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.96% ( 0.02)
43.4% ( 0.02) 56.6% ( -0.02)
22.42% ( 0.02) 77.57% ( -0.01)
72.25% ( 0) 27.74% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.68% 63.32% ( 0)
67.76% ( 0.02) 32.24% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.27% ( 0.03) 68.73% ( -0.02)
Cardiff City 39.88%
Bristol City 32.63%
Draw 27.47%
Cardiff City Draw Bristol City 1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.88% 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.47% 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.63%
How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City
Cardiff City
Draw
Bristol City
19
rhs 2.0
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