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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
1 - 1
Bristol City

Salech (90')
Mannsverk (36'), Goutas (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Knight (60')
Twine (22'), McCrorie (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

 Cardiff may have lost back-to-back league games on the road, but crucially, they will have home advantage in their favour for Saturday's derby clash, and after winning their last two home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch all three points against Bristol City, especially as they have won three of their last four head-to-head meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
39.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.73% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 39.88%
    Bristol City 32.63%
    Draw 27.47%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.88%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
84.2%
Draw
5.3%
Bristol City
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bristol City
1-1
Cardiff
McNally (73')
McCrorie (49'), Sykes (90+2')
Tanner (54')
Ralls (65')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 35
Bristol City
0-1
Cardiff

King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 35
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Kaba (52'), Philogene-Bidace (70')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733
> Championship Full Table


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