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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Cardiff


King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite some unacceptable results since the turn of the calendar year, Bristol City have shown the ability to rise to the big occasion at Ashton Gate, and we feel that the Robins could repeat the trick on Saturday. Cardiff's win over struggling Stoke last time out was much needed, but we believe it does not signal a long-term change in fortunes for the Bluebirds during the remainder of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
44.13% (-0.11 -0.11) 25.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 29.92% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)51.52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)23.25% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.067 -0.07)57.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (0.076999999999998 0.08)31.54% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (0.090999999999998 0.09)67.93% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 44.12%
    Cardiff City 29.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Bristol CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.92%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
64.3%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
21.4%
28
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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