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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Luton Town

Coventry
1 - 1
Luton

Godden (45+1' pen.)
Wilson-Esbrand (80'), McFadzean (86')
Wilson-Esbrand (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lockyer (1')
Burke (44'), Osho (45'), Bell (64'), Morris (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Having been stunned by Grimsby in the FA Cup, Luton's season could now go several ways. For now, though, Edwards will want to steady the ship, and we feel that the visitors will be more than content with a point if it becomes a possibility on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
36.74% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.72% (0.040000000000006 0.04)58.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.09% (0.030999999999999 0.03)78.91% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.060000000000002 0.06)30.42% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)66.62% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)31.35% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 36.74%
    Luton Town 35.26%
    Draw 28%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.26%

How you voted: Coventry vs Luton

Coventry City
0.0%
Draw
50.0%
Luton Town
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-2
Coventry
Morris (4', 15')
Onyedinma (31')
Gyokeres (11'), Hamer (61')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Coventry
0-1
Luton

Allen (34'), Clarke-Salter (45+1'), McFadzean (87')
Adebayo (38')
Bell (8'), Cornick (60'), Jerome (66'), Adebayo (68'), Burke (73')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
5-0
Coventry
Adebayo (3' pen., 45+6'), Cornick (18', 58'), Berry (30')

Hamer (17'), Maatsen (62')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Luton
2-0
Coventry
Bree (23'), Adebayo (42' pen.)
Nombe (82'), Pearson (90+2')

McFadzean (41')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Coventry
0-0
Luton

O'Hare (38'), Hamer (41'), Kelly (46')

Berry (28'), Potts (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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