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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Den
Ipswich logo

Millwall
0 - 4
Ipswich


McNamara (60'), Saville (84'), Leonard (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Broadhead (24'), Harding (32' og.), Moore (45+1'), Al-Hamadi (90+3' pen.)
Davis (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Millwall
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 West Brom
Saturday, February 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Ipswich Town

Millwall are failing to convert decent performances into results, and the Lions' tough run of fixtures continues with the visit of Ipswich on Wednesday night. The Tractor Boys are beginning to stumble in the race for automatic promotion to the Premier League, but we believe that McKenna's men will record a much-needed maximum at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawIpswich Town
32.71% (-0.314 -0.31) 25.88% (0.099999999999998 0.1) 41.4% (0.213 0.21)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-0.422 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.505 -0.5)50.23% (0.504 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.45 -0.45)72.19% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.45 -0.45)28.98% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.56 -0.56)64.88% (0.55900000000001 0.56)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.116 -0.12)24.02% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.166 -0.17)58.28% (0.165 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.71%
    Ipswich Town 41.4%
    Draw 25.88%
MillwallDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.71%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: Millwall vs Ipswich

Millwall
16.4%
Draw
11.8%
Ipswich Town
71.8%
110
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Ipswich
3-1
Millwall
Chaplin (5'), Luongo (12'), Broadhead (39')
Luongo (25'), Broadhead (52')
Nisbet (78')
Flemming (37'), Honeyman (46'), De Norre (54')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
1-1
Ipswich
Afobe (15')
Ladapo (54')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Ipswich
0-3
Millwall
Wallace (38'), Afobe (50'), Malone (54')
McNamara (31')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
2-3
Millwall
Lankester (2'), Jackson (89')
Ferguson (60' pen.), Cooper (68'), Elliott (76')
Morison (66')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
3-0
Ipswich
Gregory (26', 51'), Leonard (70')

Pennington (57')
rhs 2.0
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