MX23RW : Friday, January 17 13:37:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

With both clubs going through a poor run of form, the stakes are high in this contest as they bid to stay in touch with the top six. Taking that into consideration, we feel that a low-scoring draw is most likely, one which will be deemed acceptable by both sets of supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
42.27% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 27.99% (-0.032 -0.03) 29.73% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.43% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (0.127 0.13)59.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)79.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.046000000000006 0.05)27.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.060000000000002 0.06)63.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.11 0.11)35.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (0.112 0.11)72.54% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.27%
    Millwall 29.73%
    Draw 27.98%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
37.9%
Draw
30.5%
Millwall
31.6%
95
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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