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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
27.63% ( -0) | 28.35% ( -0.01) | 44.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.38% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.65% ( 0.02) | 61.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.74% ( 0.01) | 81.26% ( -0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% ( 0.01) | 38.58% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( 0) | 75.32% ( -0) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.01) | 27.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( 0.02) | 63.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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