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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 6
Middlesbrough

Leigh (24'), Scarlett (72')
Moore (35')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Latte Lath (37' pen., 45', 49'), Azaz (42', 83'), Conway (80')
Azaz (27'), Borges (60'), Edmundson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Middlesbrough

Oxford's form at home will ensure that Middlesbrough are not complacent about facing one of the smaller teams in the division. Nevertheless, we do not think it will be enough to earn more than a share of the spoils, a result that will suit the home side more so than the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
19.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 57.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 19.07%
    Middlesbrough 57.91%
    Draw 23%
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 19.07%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 11.86%
0-2 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-5 @ 1.02%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.91%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Middlesbrough

Oxford United
28.9%
Draw
26.7%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2017 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Fifth Round
Middlesbrough
3-2
Oxford Utd
Leadbitter (26' pen.), Gestede (34'), Stuani (86')
Ayala (62'), Chambers (71'), Negredo (92')
Maguire (64'), Martinez (66')
Ledson (76'), Johnson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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