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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Oxford United

Watford
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Oxford United

Aiming to maintain their near-perfect record at Vicarage Road this season, we see Watford having the quality to come out on top in another high-scoring contest on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawOxford United
53.8% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.82% (0.026 0.03) 22.38% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)48.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)70.46% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)48.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.79%
    Oxford United 22.38%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Watford vs Oxford Utd

Watford
80.6%
Draw
11.0%
Oxford United
8.4%
155
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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