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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol City
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Armstrong (57'), Wells (75' pen.)
Williams (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (28')
El Mizouni (11'), Moore (66'), Vaulks (74'), Brown (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Oxford United

Many will feel that Oxford make the trip to Ashton Gate as the favourites to come out on top given their superior start. Nevertheless, we are backing Bristol City to earn a share of the spoils, even if that will not go down well with their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
55.54% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.35%21.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 55.54%
    Oxford United 21.1%
    Draw 23.35%
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 0.91%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Oxford Utd

Bristol City
38.3%
Draw
23.4%
Oxford United
38.3%
47
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-1
Oxford Utd
Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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