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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
33.8% (![]() | 26.72% (![]() | 39.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.53% (![]() | 53.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% (![]() | 74.99% (![]() |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.12% (![]() | 29.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.02% (![]() | 65.97% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.3% (![]() | 61.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.57% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 12.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 10.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 66 | 19 | 47 | 69 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 67 |
3 | Burnley | 32 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 39 | 9 | 30 | 64 |
4 | Sunderland | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 62 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 48 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Bristol City | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 45 |
8 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 45 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 44 |
10 | Coventry CityCoventry | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 43 |
13 | Watford | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 42 |
14 | Millwall | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 40 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 38 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 37 |
18 | Portsmouth | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 33 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 31 |
21 | Hull City | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 29 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
24 | Luton TownLuton | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
> Championship Full Table |