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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burnley logo

Rotherham
2 - 2
Burnley

Vitinho (45+2' og.), Kelly (85')
Quina (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Twine (26'), Benson (81')
Maatsen (45+4'), Benson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Burnley

Burnley are closing in on the Championship title, and we are expecting them to win on Tuesday night. Rotherham also need the points in their battle against survival, but we are finding it difficult to back against the Clarets, who should welcome back their key players for this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurnley
24.36% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.07%51.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.63% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.39% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)18.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 24.36%
    Burnley 51.56%
    Draw 24.07%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.36%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.56%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Burnley

Rotherham United
18.9%
Draw
10.8%
Burnley
70.3%
74
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
3-2
Rotherham
Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')
Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')
Bramall (68')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Rotherham
Vokes (27' pen.), Arfield (86')
Gray (64'), Mee (68')

Burke (20'), Smallwood (85')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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