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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Burnley |
23.31% ( -0.76) | 24.6% ( -0.41) | 52.09% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( 0.95) | 50.58% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.83) | 72.49% ( -0.83) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.17) | 36.41% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -0.17) | 73.19% ( 0.17) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( 0.84) | 19.39% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( 1.37) | 51.2% ( -1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 52.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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