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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
3 - 1
Swansea

Burger (64'), Bae (73'), Baker (90+3')
Pearson (41'), Baker (78'), Moran (85'), Moran (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (61')
Cabango (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Both Stoke and Swansea are determined to return to winning ways this weekend and put together a positive run of form in the coming weeks. However, there is little to separate these two teams and the spoils could be shared once again in another closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
40.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.5% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.69% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)76.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.012 -0.01)61.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.047000000000011 0.05)31.35% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)67.72% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.52%
    Swansea City 32.51%
    Draw 26.96%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Swansea City
27.3%
22
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Swansea
0-0
Stoke
Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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