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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
3 - 1
Swansea

Burger (64'), Bae (73'), Baker (90+3')
Pearson (41'), Baker (78'), Moran (85'), Moran (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tymon (61')
Cabango (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Both Stoke and Swansea are determined to return to winning ways this weekend and put together a positive run of form in the coming weeks. However, there is little to separate these two teams and the spoils could be shared once again in another closely-fought encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
40.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.5% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.31% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.69% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)76.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.012 -0.01)61.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.047000000000011 0.05)31.35% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)67.72% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.52%
    Swansea City 32.51%
    Draw 26.96%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.51%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Swansea City
27.3%
22
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Swansea
0-0
Stoke
Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 42
Swansea
3-0
Stoke
Cullen (19'), Grimes (53' pen.), Key (73')
Paterson (43'), Darling (61'), Cullen (67')

Stevens (38'), Manhoef (61'), Thompson (90')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')
Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
1-1
Swansea
Campbell (90+1')
Piroe (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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