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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Blackburn logo

West Brom
4 - 1
Blackburn

Fellows (11'), Thomas-Asante (30', 63'), Hyam (33' og.)
Bartley (40'), Kipre (43')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Garrett (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Blackburn Rovers

Although West Brom are light in terms of attacking options due to Diangana's AFCON involvement and Sarmiento's departure, the hosts still have a first-choice defence available, which has been key to so many of their wins at The Hawthorns this season. Blackburn have lost their last four Championship away matches - conceding 13 goals in the process - and we cannot imagine Rovers earning anything on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBlackburn Rovers
57.51% (-0.107 -0.11) 21.56% (0.032 0.03) 20.92% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)40.12% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)62.49% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)13.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)41.03% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)32.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (0.044 0.04)69.34% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.51%
    Blackburn Rovers 20.92%
    Draw 21.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 57.51%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.56%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.92%

How you voted: West Brom vs Blackburn

West Bromwich Albion
82.8%
Draw
10.3%
Blackburn Rovers
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Blackburn
2-1
West Brom
Markanday (20'), Leonard (22')
Travis (28'), Szmodics (30'), Carter (48'), Hedges (87')
Phillips (50')
Corberan Vallet (29'), Yokuslu (45+3'), Kipre (53'), Wallace (55')
Corberan Vallet (0')
Feb 15, 2023 8pm
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Blackburn
2-1
West Brom
Brereton Diaz (41'), Gallagher (47')
Gallagher (5'), Buckley (77'), Dack (89'), Travis (90')
Diangana (59')
Swift (37')
Feb 14, 2022 8pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Blackburn
1-2
West Brom
Brereton Diaz (51')
Travis (58')
Mowatt (1'), Phillips (45+3')
Livermore (18'), Furlong (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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