MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:34:41| >> :60:86:86:
USA national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 17, 2023 at 2am UK
Nippert Stadium
Trinidad and Tobago national football team

USA
3 - 0
Trin. & Tob.

Pepi (82'), Robinson (86'), Reyna (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powder (18'), Hackshaw (90+1')
Powder (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between USA and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
Last Game: USA 4-0 Ghana
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 5-3 Trin. & Tob.
Wednesday, October 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: USA 3-0 Trinidad and Tobago

 Even without two top-class attacking threats in Pulisic and Weah, the Yanks have an embarrassment of riches in the attack, and although they have not always been at their best since Berhalter returned, their overall quality always seems to overpower CONCACAF opponents. It would take a Herculean effort for the Soca Warriors to upset an American side with many players featuring in the top European leagues, whereas most of the Trinidad squad apply their trade with clubs in either lower-tiered leagues or inferior ones when compared to most across Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.66%) and 1-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for USA in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for USA.

Result
USADrawTrinidad and Tobago
78.84% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97) 14.23% (0.35 0.35) 6.94% (0.6261 0.63)
Both teams to score 41.88% (2.295 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.988 0.99)39.69% (-0.987 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (1.018 1.02)62.04% (-1.019 -1.02)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8.11% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Trinidad and Tobago Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.58% (2.494 2.49)54.42% (-2.492 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.47% (1.462 1.46)87.53% (-1.462 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    USA 78.83%
    Trinidad and Tobago 6.94%
    Draw 14.23%
USADrawTrinidad and Tobago
2-0 @ 13.92% (-0.64 -0.64)
3-0 @ 11.66% (-0.53 -0.53)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.263 0.26)
4-0 @ 7.32% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 4.45% (0.141 0.14)
5-0 @ 3.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-1 @ 2.24% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.221 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.139 0.14)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 78.83%
1-1 @ 6.75% (0.207 0.21)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 2.58% (0.264 0.26)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 14.23%
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.082 0.08)
1-2 @ 2.05% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 6.94%

How you voted: USA vs Trin. & Tob.

USA
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Trinidad and Tobago
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2023 12am
Group Stage
USA
6-0
Trin. & Tob.
Ferreira (14', 38', 45+3' pen.), Cowell (65'), Busio (79'), Vazquez (90+4')
Neal (53')

Molino (39')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2021 12am
Friendlies 1
USA
7-0
Trin. & Tob.
Lewis (3', 55'), Ferreira (10', 63'), Arriola (22', 42'), Robinson (52')

Mitchell (53'), Woo Ling (78')
Jun 23, 2019 1am
Group Stage
USA
6-0
Trin. & Tob.
Long (41', 90'), Zardes (66', 69'), Pulisic (73'), Arriola (78')
McKennie (58')

Jones (39'), Cyrus (58'), Jones (86')
rhs 2.0
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