Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 29, 2022 at 12am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo1 - 0America Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and America Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-3 Goias
Saturday, July 23 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 23 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 26 |
10 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 4 | 26 |
11 | Ceara | 19 | 1 | 24 |
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, July 24 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 24 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Coritiba | 19 | -8 | 22 |
15 | America Mineiro | 19 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Avai | 19 | -10 | 21 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | America Mineiro |
64.68% ( 0.38) | 21.61% ( 0.02) | 13.71% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 43.28% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.71% ( -0.85) | 52.29% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.01% ( -0.74) | 73.98% ( 0.73) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.5% ( -0.16) | 15.5% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.61% ( -0.3) | 44.39% ( 0.3) |
America Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.21% ( -1.14) | 48.79% ( 1.13) |