Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 23, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coritiba 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Athletico PR
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
64.82% ( 0) | 21.56% ( -0.01) | 13.62% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 43.2% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( 0.03) | 52.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( 0.03) | 73.97% ( -0.02) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.55% ( 0.01) | 15.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.7% ( 0.02) | 44.29% ( -0.02) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.09% ( 0.02) | 48.91% ( -0.02) |